Iraq war could kill 500,000: Report

cuito61 at cuito61 at
Wed Nov 13 22:50:57 MST 2002

Collateral Damage: the health and environmental costs of war on Iraq

"The evidence-based report, introduced by Dr June Crown, Medact President and former president of the Faculty of Public Health Medicine of the Royal College of Physicians UK, summarises from a public health perspective the effects of the previous Gulf War, and outlines the likely impact of another war on the people of Iraq, on the combatants and on the wider world. It concludes that the threatened war could have disastrous short, medium and long-term consequences for all concerned and summarises alternatives to war."

>From the executive Summary:

"Researched and written by health professionals, this evidence-based report examines the likely impact of a new war on Iraq from a public health perspective. Credible estimates of the total possible deaths on all sides during the conflict and the following three months range from 48,000 to over 260,000. Civil war within Iraq could add another 20,000 deaths. Additional later deaths from post-war adverse health effects could reach 200,000. If nuclear weapons were used the death toll could reach 3,900,000. In all scenarios the majority of casualties will be civilians.

The aftermath of a ‘conventional’ war could include civil war, famine and epidemics, millions of refugees and displaced people, catastrophic effects on children’s health and development, economic collapse including failure of agriculture and manufacturing, and a requirement for long-term peacekeeping. Destabilisation and possible regime change in countries neighbouring Iraq is also possible, as well as more terrorist attacks. Global economic crisis may be triggered through trade reduction and soaring oil prices, with particularly devastating consequences for developing countries."

To download full pdf version, press release, executive summary, fact sheet:

"Doctors warn war in Iraq could be devastating:"

"Iraq invasion will trigger 'human catastrophe,' report warns:"

"Iraq war 'could kill 500,000':"

"Up to Four Million Could Die If the US Unleashes War on Iraq: British Medical Organization:" 021113194820333

Marc Rodrigues
Voicemail: 866.206.9067 x4217

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