Forwarded from Profesor J

Jon Flanders Jon_Flanders at
Fri May 23 13:13:21 MDT 2003

Conjunctural Analysis                     May 19, 2003

by Profesor J
profesor_j at

First they said that Lula was progressive, but he wasn't.  He aligned himself with the IMF.
Then they said that Gutierrez was progressive, but he wasn't either.  He also aligned himself with the IMF.
Now they say that Mercosur is progressive, but it isn't either.  It is driven by businessmen.
Who knows what they'll tell us next, but it will be too late

(Anonymous, clearly somewhat plagiarized.)

Certain relevant facts make it possible to see some modifications in the continental
and international landscape.  We see:

Powerful suicide bombing attempts in Saudi Arabia and Morocco seeming to demonstrate
 that the so-called "war against terrorism" has had no results other than a rearrangement
 of the world geopolitics of capital.

The Basques continue steadfastly constructing their political and social forms of
 confronting the Spanish offensive, advancing towards national liberation.  No doubt
the vote in the next election will be another blow against the occupation.

The Palestinians continue strong resistance, recently dealing another blow to Israel,
 while moves for new superstructure relations between Israel and the new Palestinian
 minister speed up.  He is a "moderate", as they say, that is a conservative, and one
 of the hopes of the Yankees and Europeans to clear up the popular offensive and the
tensions of the region.  Let's say the Lula of the Middle East.

The G-8 is meeting, this time in Evan, a separate region near the border between France,
 Switzerland and Belgium, if I'm not mistaken.  Lula will be there with the blessings of
 the English and the French who are charmed by the way his government has managed to
involve the popular sectors in an alliance with capital.  Hundreds of thousands of
Europeans are preparing to protest, one supposes that they are against the meeting.
 Are you against the meeting?  Are you against the participants?  If you are then
say that you are against Lula also, or else explain that mystery.  Lula will speak
about the Zero Hunger plan, which all the countries will support, without exception.
 You will see the happiness with which international capital greets that infamous
 program for the humanization of capitalism, copied from the NGOs' practice of dispensing
aspirins and condoms to the poor.

He will doubtlessly speak about Mercosur, which, don't be surprised, he will be able to rely
on the sympathy of all present.  Do you think you'll be surprised?  Maybe you say, "seeing
 is believing".  Well, wait and see, one more time.  How long will it take?  By any chance
 do you realize that this condescending attitude towards Lula results in you finding yourself
 involuntarily supporting capital?  First it was Davos, in spite of the enormous surprise and
"opposition" of some sectors of the left.  It's noteworthy that Sader hasn't appeared writing
another text called something like "Lula, Don't Go to the G-8."

The Chilean government, driven to desperation by the strong offensive of the Mapuche people,
 has invented a negotiating table with a group that is so-inclined, in an attempt to raise it
 as a reference point for dialogue, in order to counteract the growth of national consciousness.
 The support of the official press for this conciliatory table of "pacification" has been too
 obvious.  The very term demonstrates their difficulties, or at least denotes that something's
 not going well in Gulumapu, the Mapuche region.

In Peru the overwhelming mobilization of teachers surprised everyone.  Both the government
 and reformism try to hide the root cause, citing infiltration from guerrilla groups, obviously
 the same ones that they declare everyday no longer exist.  Apparently they are only on loan for
 the repression that has already begun with complete abandon by the reformist leaders of
 the teachers' union, Sutep.  Sutep accuses their own members of being members of armed groups.
  This also shows the desperation of those leaders when faced with that Peruvian social sector's
 willingness to struggle.


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