[Marxism] Re: Elections in the Spanish State: First Impressions

Julio Huato juliohuato at hotmail.com
Mon Mar 15 10:53:02 MST 2004


Ed George wrote:

>They say a week is a long time in politics; here, the popular mood, 
>especially amongst young people, was swung around in 24 hours.

Your summary is very interesting.

I have a question and a couple of comments.  You say in your paragraph #1 
that there was not much of a difference in the PP vote, that the difference 
was in the turnout that benefited the socialists overwhelmingly.  This is 
contrary to what, say, the New York Times and NPR are suggesting here in the 
U.S.  They give the impression that it was the "mishandling" of the 
terrorist attack in Madrid that buried the PP.  The idea is that people who 
were going to vote PP changed their minds.  What you're saying makes more 
sense to me.

Now, it seems to me that in your paragraph #1 you insinuate something 
somewhat different from your quote above, namely that the alignment of 
voting preferences didn't change much as a result of the terrorist attack.  
So there was no swing among the youth.  Or the swing was from not voting to 
voting.  The difference was made by the turnout.  You hint the youth played 
a decisive role.  So the way I translate this in my head is that young 
people who are inclined towards the left don't vote unless there's a strong 
motivation.  The motivation to vote went up decisively as a result of the 
attack in Madrid, but there was not necessarily a change in the political 
preferences of voters.

Is this a reasonable thing to say?  Can you elaborate in your analysis?

Julio

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