[Marxism] "we now have very, very low propensity to enlist"
Carlos A. Rivera
cerejota at optonline.net
Sat May 28 16:16:33 MDT 2005
----- Original Message -----
From: "David McDonald" <dbmcdonald at comcast.net>
> If you put this together with the information provided by Michael Hoffman,
> the situation for the military is far more dire than reported. Consider
> General Rochelle admits to a deficit of 6,600 recruits FOR THE ARMY ALONE.
> Assume that Air Force, Navy and Marine shortfalls probably make up a
Actually not true. While the Marines and the Army have serious shortfalls,
both the Navy and Air Force report "normal" recruitment, and the meeting of
This has to do with the perception, among economic draftees, that the Air
Force and Navy are "safer":
GLOBAL WAR ON TERRORISM - OPERATION IRAQI FREEDOM
March 19, 2003 Through May 7, 2005
BY CASUALTY CATEGORY WITHIN SERVICE
CASUALTY TYPE TOTAL ARMY NAVY MARINES AIR
Killed in Action 938 593 19
Died of Wounds 260 203 1
Died While Missing in Action 7 7
Died While Captured 2 2
TOTAL HOSTILE DEATHS 1,207 805 20 374
Of course this is *official* data, which can be wrong.
And even the "mainstream" press reports this, and has for a while done so:
Recruits swamp Navy, Air Force
For the FY 2003-2004, all branches EXCEDED their recruit goals, and it is
likely we will see a repeat of this.
So in spite of them having a hard time doing it, they ARE doing it.
The real crisis is in retention rates, in particular of people who would
otherwise become "lifers". This are NCOs who have 7-10 years and form the
backbone of all figthing units. The Army and Army reserves were the only
branches who didn't meet these rention goals last year, even with "stop
loss" and what amounts to bribery in many case. They are also having a lot
of problem retaining the most prized of all of their people, West Point
graduated Captains. These are being headhunted in throves, when they are
smack in the middle of their expected career time in the Army, and just
after doing a tour in Iraq and becoming combat veterans.
In other words, they are losing 25-35 year olds like an hemorrage loses
blood. And these are the people who RUN the show, not 18-25 fresh recruits
or graduates or 35-60 year old lifers and top brass. So the Army has a
crisis of leadership and logistical personpower, not really of recruitment.
If you ask me, this whole "crisis of recruitment" thing is actually a
fig-leaf for the very real crisis of retention, and serves the dual purpose
of hiding the crisis of retention and generating public support for a draft.
> My opinion is that the military itself is laying the groundwork for the
> resumption of the draft.
I agree. And we might also see more "creative" ways to channel economic
draftees into the Army and Marines, such a inter-service "detachments" and
sign-up bonuses. Ironically, this was a problem predicted by the Powell
Doctrine generation, and some of the bolder "Joint Recruitment" proposals
they floated around in the 1980s. The idea was to have a single recruitment
point, wereas you couldnt choose the branch (much like what they do with the
MOS in every branch), but would rather place you in whatever branch and MOS
they wanted you in, and you were capable of. It is a good thing the US
establishment has ignored that generation of unqualified military doctrine
geniuses in preference of the idealist pie-in-the-sky neo-con ideologues.
Every single one of the predictions all of them, including Powell himself,
made about this war has become true, from the need to have at least 250,000
troops to overwhelm the Iraqis, to recruitment instability, to industrial
production standards, to logistical support crisis. Even the darling of the
RMAists, Donald Runsfeld, is now a hybrid RMA-Neocon. A good thing indee.
The USA would have won the war already.
BTW, If the draft gets re-instated, I think it will be a signal that Syria
will get invaded.
Without a draft, I think they can't invade Syria and occupy it, even if they
More information about the Marxism