[Marxism] Re Peak Oil
jonflanders at jflan.net
Mon Oct 17 19:20:08 MDT 2005
By the way, I just finished reading Matthew Simmons "Twilight in the
Desert", his book on Saudi oil production.
On page 288 there is a chart of the production of super giant oil
fields, showing their production over time. Samotlor, the greatest
Russian field is listed. Samotlor peaked in 1982 at a little over 3
million barrels a day. 1990 found production fallen to 1.5 million
barrels a day, by 1994 it was down to less than 500,000 barrels a day.
I believe that Mark Jones said that Soviet oil production was the key to
the collapse of the Soviet Union. You can see it graphically in that
Samotlor decline curve. As you can see why Russia slashed Cuba's quota.
Simmons asks why the future of the Saudi's Ghawar should be any
different. Good question.
On Mon, 2005-10-17 at 20:59 -0400, Jon Flanders wrote:
> On Fri, 2005-10-14 at 23:53 -0700, Rod Holt wrote:
> > Cuba got 95% of its promised petroleum
> > products in 1990, and later years were similar.
> Ok, I found the figures on Cuban oil imports from 1989
> Here they are.
> Metric Tons Barrels
> 1989 13.1 95.83
> 1990 10.2 74.46
> 1991 8.1 59.13
> 1992 6.0 43.8
> 1993 5.5 40.15
> 1994 5.7 41.61
> 1995 6.2 45.26
> 1996 6.3 45.99
> 1997 6.9 50.37
> 1998 6.5 47.45
> russia + oil + cuba
> in google, first page second entry.
> So by my calculations, Cuba got 54% of the oil it imported in 1990
> in 1993.
> So 95% of promised means what? We promise to cut your quota by more than
> Heinberg is vindicated on this one.
> Jon Flanders
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