[Marxism] Ollanta Humala interview

Louis Proyect lnp3 at panix.com
Wed Apr 5 12:13:25 MDT 2006


>LET'S BE CLEAR: I have no idea what is in the mind of Ollanta
>Humala, nor do I make any predictions about what he will do if
>he is elected president of Peru. I do know, however, that the
>habit of making political proyections from formal declarations
>has made fools out of more than one political trend, such as
>the one who famously declared that "the main danger to the
>Cuban Revolution is in its own leadership", thirteen MONTHS
>after the triumph of the Cuban Revolution. They found fault
>with Fidel Castro for what was left out of Fidel's political
>program, from HISTORY WILL ABSOLVE ME.
>
>Castro's revolutionary critics declared:
>http://www.walterlippmann.com/catc.html
>
>
>Walter Lippmann

Walter, from a metaphysical standpoint we can never predict anything with 
total certainty. For example, I suppose that we can't rule out that Hillary 
Clinton might become the next President of the USA and change the 
constitution to abolish private property. I mean, after all, her husband 
did propose that Cuba solidarity activist Johnetta Cole head the Justice 
Department's Civil Rights Commission.

However, just because the SWP found fault with Fidel Castro 46 years ago, 
this does not mean we are obligated to hold out the hope that just about 
anybody can become the next leader of a socialist revolution.

We, after all, can benefit from hindsight and understand that the SWP did 
not fully understand the dynamics of the Cuban revolution, although they 
would eventually.

Now that we have such a hindsight, we understand that there was a 
well-organized *vanguard* in Cuba although it did not march under the 
hammer-and-sickle. It was determined to break Cuba free of the chains of 
colonialism and achieve true democracy even if it meant breaking with 
capitalism and imperialism.

So, understanding what we know now about what was about to happen in Cuba 
in 1959 through 1961, how does that apply to Peru? Because Humala decries 
neoliberalism, does this mean that there is a good chance that capitalism 
will be abolished in Peru once he takes office? Frankly, the reason I keep 
bringing up the need to apply Marxism to situations such as these is 
because it is rooted in class relationships. What are the class dynamics at 
work in Peru today? How are the peasants and workers mobilized and what are 
their relationships to Humala? Is there something analogous to the July 
26th Movement in Peru? Unless you can begin to roll up your sleeves and dig 
into the nitty-gritty of Peruvian society, you are probably better off 
saying nothing than engage in idle speculation.






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