[Marxism] Cuban analysis of the Nicaraguan elections

Walter Lippmann walterlx at earthlink.net
Wed Nov 8 09:54:43 MST 2006


Though it's too long to post here, I strongly urge everyone to see
the Cuban analysis of Nicaragua's elections which was written and
published BEFORE Sunday's voting. This doesn't exist elsewhere yet
in English as yet and was specially translated for CubaNews:
http://www.walterlippmann.com/docs996.html

Ortega may have a majority in the national parliament, but with a
majority approaching 40% in the popular vote, his margin to move
any important change is extremely circumscribed. And on the other
hand, his election having now been formally certified by their
Supreme Electoral Council, it will also be difficult for the U.S.
to break relations or cut off remitances to Nicaragua, not to
speak of reviving any military fantasies Washington might have in
the short run. Monteleagre and Rizo haven't as yet accepted their
defeat, but they will soon have to do so. Perhaps Monteleagre is
awaiting his instructions from Washington in this regard. Should
Washington try to squeeze Nicaragua economically, Venezuela is in
a position to help cushion the blow. I hope that the movements of
popular activism in Nicaragua, to the extend possible, will now
do what they can to advance their own organizing and protesting
and demanding justice. Ortega, once he's installed, won't be in
any position to do much in the way of repression of protests.


Walter Lippmann, CubaNews
http://www.walterlippmann.com
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/CubaNews 
==================================================================

GRANMA
November 8, 2006

Message from Fidel Castro to Daniel Ortega

Havana, November 7, 2006 
Year of the Energy Revolution in Cuba

Dear Daniel:

The grandiose Sandinista victory fills our people with joy, while 
at the same time casts dishonour on the terrorist and genocidal
government of the United States. This is why you and the heroic
people of Nicaragua deserve our warmest congratulations.

Within the people of the United States you will have many friends,
since to struggle for a better world is to struggle for a hope of
life for all peoples.


GRANMA
November 8, 2006
Nicaragua: Confirming the Tendency
ORLANDO ORAMAS LEON

Fifteen years after handing over the power, Daniel Ortega, head of
the Unity, Nicaragua Triumphs alliance, has all the votes he needs to
return to the House of Government of Nicaragua with the Sandinista
National Liberation Front (SNLF) and other sectors, including some of
the contras he fought against on the battlefield.

Three administrations have passed since Ortega's first mandate. They
opened the door to neoliberalism and dismantled the main triumphs of
the Sandinista revolution which fought illiteracy from its earliest
years and opened schools and healthcare centres throughout the
country.

They were 15 years of attacks from the rightwing at the ideological
and media levels. The SNLF was blamed for thousands of deaths that
occurred during the dirty war provoked by Washington and for the
economic problems caused by that unequal conflict.

Three elections passed with the same bombardment: Daniel will bring
war, the Sandinistas will make military service compulsory, and other
lies to which were added pressure from Washington and their threats
to limit remittances sent by Nicaraguans living in the United Sates
-one of the principal revenue sources of the country and vital for
thousands of families.

The scene was repeated again this time as the Bush administration
used fear tactics. However, this time the circumstances were
different.

"We are going to review our relations [with Nicaragua] if Ortega
wins," said everyone from US Trade Secretary Condoleezza Rice, to
Carlos Gutierrez, to Senator Dan Barton, and even to former
Lieutenant Colonel Oliver North, who brought with him some ghosts
from the past, including the Iran-contras scandal.

Everyone was urging people not to vote for Daniel Ortega and even US
senators proposed to cut remittances to Nicaragua and asked the Bush
administration to reinstate the blockade against Nicaragua that was
used by his father, the former Reagan vice president and then
president, George Bush.

The first sign of a possible Sandinista victory was given by the US
embassy itself. Soon after the first results of the elections began
to filter through, they quickly questioned the impartiality and
transparency of the elections on some alleged "anomalies."

It wasn't coincidental that the delegation of US "observers" was led
by the US ambassador in Managua, Paul Trivelli, who was fully
committed over the last months to intervene in the electoral
campaign.

Trivelli and other officials promoting the Bush administration's
intervention prompted the Organization of American States to issue
two statements, in September and October that criticized the US
interference in the elections.

On election day, the opinions of the US observers contrasted with
those of the international observers, including the European Union,
the OAS and others from Latin America.

It turned out that this was the last shot by the Bush administration
to avoid the vote for change in a Nicaragua that saw a sharp increase
in illiteracy after the Sandinistas had managed to reduce illiteracy
to its lowest levels; in the Nicaragua of thieving presidents, where
poverty had reached 80 percent of the population while the macro
economic reports were applauded by the International Monetary Fund.

The big loser in the land of Sandino was neoliberalism and its
executors, including corruption, inefficiency and the quarrels
derived from the larceny that divided the Constitutional Liberal
Party, the party of former president Arnoldo Aleman, found guilty of
theft.

The victory of the FSLN is another confirmation of the winds of
change blowing through the continent, although they are not always
shown at the ballot box.


Daniel Ortega Officially Proclaimed Nicaragua's President-Elect

Managua, November 7 - Nicaragua's Supreme Electoral Council (CSE)
officially confirmed Daniel Ortega as president-elect of the country
after tallying 91.48 percent of the votes.

With 38.07 percent of the 2,244,215 valid votes, Ortega holds a 9
percent lead over his closest rival, former banker Eduardo
Montealegre from the Nicaraguan Liberal Alliance (ALN), with 29
percent. In third is the candidate from the Constitutional Liberal
Party (PLC), former Vice President Jose Rizo, with 26.21 percent.

After the fifth and final count delivered by the CSE, Montealegre
conceded defeat and congratulated the winning candidate.

CHAVEZ CONGRADULATES ORTEGA

CARACAS, November 7- Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez phoned
Nicaragua's president elect Daniel Ortega Tuesday night to
congratulate him on his victory.

"Congratulations to you, to the Sandinistas and to all Nicaraguans.
We are very proud of you [.], a Bolivarian and Sandinista hug to you
all," said Chavez.

Ortega replied, "We send you an embrace from the Sandinista people to
the Bolivarian people and particularly to the Venezuelan president,
our dear brother Hugo Chavez," reported AFP.





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