[Marxism] Perspectives on the US Financial Crisis

Fred Feldman ffeldman at bellatlantic.net
Sun Jul 6 22:45:00 MDT 2008


A useful look at what has and has not happened yet in the economic
difficulties of US and world capitalism. Well worth study, discussion, and
criticism. Their final conclusion -- that this is not yet a depression --
seems valid to me at this moment, though I am not convinced we can yet
predict what the end point will be.

I have said, and I think the statement has some validity, that the US has
had a 1929, but has so far successfully fended off a 1931. A bear market
alone doth not a depression make. I have no idea whether they can fend off a
1931 or not but SO FAR they have in fact done so, and as long as they do so,
it makes the difference between a severe downturn and a worldwide
catastrophe. Which won't keep this from being catastrophic for countless
millions.
Fred Feldman



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~(((( T h e B u l l e t ))))~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ A Socialist
Project e-bulletin .... No. 121 .... July 7, 2008
_____________________________________________________________

Perspectives on the U.S. Financial Crisis

Sam Gindin and Leo Panitch

It is time to take stock. The centrality of the American economy to the
capitalist world -- which now literally does encompass the whole world --
has spread the financial crisis that began in the U.S. housing market around
the globe. And the emerging economic recession triggered in the U.S.
by that financial crisis now threatens to spread globally as well.

Capitalism has had an incredible run -- politically and culturally as well
as economically -- since the stagflation crisis of the 1970s. The resolution
of that crisis required, as economists put it at the time, 'reducing
expectations' of the kind nurtured by the trade union militancy and welfare
state gains of the 1960s. This was accomplished via the defeats suffered by
trade unionism and the welfare state since the 1980s at the hands of what
might properly be called capitalist militancy. This was accompanied by
dramatic technological change, massive industrial restructuring alongside
labour market flexibility and the over--all discipline provided by
'competitiveness.' 

That discipline brought with it an enormous increase in economic inequality,
the spread of permanent working class insecurity and the subsumption of
democratic possibilities to profitable accumulation. But this did not mean
capitalism was no longer able to integrate the bulk of the population. On
the contrary, this was now achieved through the private pension funds that
mobilized workers savings, on the one hand, and through the mortgage and
credit markets that loaned them the money to sustain high levels of consumer
spending on the other. At the centre of this were the private banking
institutions that, after their collapse in the Great Depression, had been
nurtured back to health in the postwar decades and then unleashed the
explosion of global financial innovation that has defined our era.

The question begged by the current crisis is whether capitalism's capacity
to integrate the mass of people through their incorporation in financial
markets has run out of steam. That the fault line should have appeared in
'sub-prime' mortgage loans to African-Americans is hardly surprising -- this
has always been the Achilles' heel of working class incorporation into the
American capitalist dream. But an economic earthquake will actually only
result if there is a devaluation of working class assets in general through
a collapse of housing prices and the stock and bonds in which their
retirement savings are invested.

** The state and financial crises **

We are by no means there yet. The role being played to prevent just this by
the Federal Reserve, very much acting as the world central bank in light of
the global implications of a U.S. recession, should once and for all dispel
the illusion that capitalist markets thrive without state intervention. It
was through the types of policies that promoted free capital movements,
international property rights and labour market flexibility that the era of
free trade and globalization was unleashed. And this era has been kept going
as long as it has by the repeated coordinated interventions undertaken by
central banks and finance ministries to contain the periodic crises to which
such a volatile system of global finance inevitably gives rise.

The Fed has repeatedly poured liquidity into its financial system at the
first sign of trouble. The question is whether the capacity of the system to
go on integrating ordinary Americans though the expansion of investor and
credit markets in this way has reached its limit. This was indeed suggested
by the Bush administration's sudden (non-military) Keynesian turn with a
$150 billion fiscal stimulus. However, that fiscal stimulus at the federal
level may be undone at the state level, especially with municipal government
cutbacks, given their massive dependence on property taxes. The way
financial institutions that specialized in selling risk insurance on
municipal bonds were enveloped in the credit crisis has further compounded
the problem. This indeed brings to mind the extent to which it was municipal
governments that were on the front lines of the Great Depression.


But while the U.S. may very well move into a recession, which even when it
ends may mark the beginning of a new era of slower growth, this is very
different from a Depression. While there is no doubt that mortgages in black
communities and for the working poor more generally will be tightened, it
seems most likely that banks, competing for markets, will continue to extend
credit to working families more generally. We need to remember that the top
twenty per cent and their families are extravagant consumers. While growing
inequalities are grotesque, the left has consistently underestimated the
extent to which the rich can sustain overall spending. The 'correction' in
the dollar (alongside the strength of U.S. manufacturing in the higher-tech
sectors) has already led to offsetting growth in markets abroad; U.S.
exports have been growing at double-digit rates over the past few years.

Finally, the U.S. state may revive its capacities for substantive
infrastructural spending, if only to stimulate the construction industry now
that the housing boom is over. Indeed, even from the perspective of
competitiveness and accumulation there is a long-neglected need to rebuild
U.S. infrastructure -- as the collapsed levies of New Orleans and the
collapsed bridges of Minneapolis dramatically showed. The type of state
intervention that brought us financial globalization is not well suited to
this, but this crisis may finally force some renewal of state capacities in
this respect, even within the overall framework of neoliberalism.

** Finance and Neoliberalism **

There is an understandable tendency on the left to take hope in capitalism's
current dilemmas. The extreme liberalization of finance (and along with it
the era of neoliberalism) seems discredited. Finance today appears as no
more than high-flying speculation -- absurdly wasteful and ultimately not
sustainable. U.S. corporations remain profitable, but with the credit
crunch, who will buy the goods? Discredited as well, it therefore appears,
is the U.S. capacity to keep its own house in order, never mind lead the
process of globalization. Yet before we assume that the openings created by
this crisis place us on the verge of a matching new oppositional politics,
we need a more careful reading of our times. While the new openings provide
the space for a new politics, we need to soberly appreciate the problematic
link between such openings and a radical response.

To begin with, as immoral and irrational as finance might seem,
financialization has been absolutely essential to the making and
reproduction of global capitalism. Second, the growing consensus that
finance must be re-regulated is hardly an attack on finance or neoliberalism
more generally. Rather, it is about the engineering of finance so it can
continue to be 'innovative' in the service of both itself and non-financial
capital. Third, whatever problems the U.S. currently faces, its dominance
will not fade because of a crisis in housing or a lower exchange rate; it
does us no good to underestimate the staying power of the American
capitalist empire. 

It is not only finance but capitalism in general that rests on speculation.
Behind a new firm or a new product rests the 'speculation' that it can be
sold at a cost and price that generates profit. Behind the distinction
between finance and the 'productive sector' is therefore something else:
the notion that finance speculates in pieces of paper, not in providing
goods or real services; it is a parasitic drain on the economy, not a
constructive addition to it. 

The problem with this line of thinking is that it mistakes what is rational
from the perspective of certain moral criteria with what is rational within
capitalism. The financial system is necessary to capitalism's functioning.
The discipline finance has imposed in the neoliberal era on particular
capitalists and workers has forced an increase in U.S. productivity rates by
way of increased exploitation, the more efficient use of each unit of
capital, and the reallocation of capital to sectors that are most promising
- all from the standpoint of profits, of course. 

The penetration by American finance of foreign countries and the inflow of
foreign capital into the U.S. has given the U.S. access to global savings,
shored up its role as the greatest global consumer and reinforced the U.S.
state's power and options. Especially important, financial markets have come
to provide non-financial corporations with mechanisms for managing their
risks, and comparing and evaluating diverse investment opportunities in a
highly complex global economy. Absent this role, globalization -- at least
to the extent we have experienced it - would not have been possible.
Finally, as emphasized earlier, the 'democratization' of American finance
has given workers access to finance as savers and debtors, thereby
contributing to their integration into, and dependence on, each of
capitalism and finance. 

This does not mean that the explosion of finance is not a highly
contradictory process. Highly volatile financial markets inevitably generate
financial crises. Rather, it shifts the question from whether
financialization is irrational to whether its contradictions can be managed
insofar as the crises can be contained. What working classes do in this
context will be crucial to answering this question. 

** The Dialectics of Regulation **

Finance cannot exist without regulation and the U.S. financial sector, even
before the latest crisis, was the most heavily regulated of any section of
the U.S. economy. In fact, the dynamics of finance cannot be understood
apart from how regulation shapes financial competition, how banks and other
financial institutions try to escape or reshape that regulation, and the
state's subsequent counter-responses. The current dilemma for American
regulatory institutions lies in how to re-regulate finance so as to overcome
its costly and dangerous volatility without undermining finance's needed
innovative capacity.

We need to be clear that this is about re-engineering finance to strengthen
capital accumulation, not control it in the name of a larger public
interest. To place democratic regulation of finance on the agenda would
require asking: 'regulation for what purpose?' and so would mean going far
beyond finance itself. It would mean raising the fundamental question of
social control over investment and therefore get to the heart of power in a
capitalist society. 

In the context of the failed promises of the past quarter century and the
current crisis, to see the above issue go completely unmentioned in the
Democratic primary debate may not be surprising given the absence of even a
trade union campaign around this, but it bespeaks an impoverishment of
American politics that in fact goes all the way back to the New Deal. The
issue of economic democracy that had been placed on the political agenda
alongside the New Deal's public infrastructure projects was set aside for
the remainder of the century after the FDR administration's self-described
'grand truce with capital' in the late 1930s. 

It will, therefore, not do to resort to the abstractions and obfuscations of
calling for 're-regulation' or a 'new, new deal.' It is the undemocratic
power of private control over investment that needs to be put on the agenda.


** American Empire in Crisis **

Four particular aspects of the limited fall-out from the present crisis
demand more serious reflection on the left. First, the fact that this crisis
surfaced in the context of strong profits and low debt loads in the
non-financial sector is important, and this accounts for the limited damage
thus far. 

Second, it is notable that despite the IMF calling this the most serious
banking crisis since the Great Depression, we have not seen a series of
banks failures. This is certainly linked to the interventions of the U.S.
Fed, but it also speaks to the strength of private U.S. financial
institutions. In no other country could such a crisis have unfolded without
massive financial bankruptcies.

Third, it is especially worthy of note that no major state saw an
opportunity in the crisis to challenge or undermine the American state.
Rather, their integration into global capitalism meant that they identified
this crisis as their crisis as well. They effectively recognized the U.S.
central bank as the world's central bank and cooperated with it in
coordinating internationally repeated provision of liquidity to the banks.
As in the previous instances of financial crises during the 1980s and 1990s,
this reproduced and extended the American state's leading role in managing
global capitalism. 

The fourth, and most important factor is the remarkable 'imperial
flexibility' the U.S. has by virtue of the weakness of its working class.
Had, for example, U.S. workers insisted on higher wages to compensate for
rising food and oil prices and the devaluation of their homes and taken
advantage of the competitive space offered by a falling dollar, the Fed
would have had to cope with the fear of inflation and this might have meant
higher rather than lower interest rates. And that could very well have
aggravated the crisis and risked a financial meltdown. But rather than the
working class demanding more, it in fact showed restraint or, in the case of
the autoworkers, accepted the greatest concessions the union has ever made. 

The more important question is, therefore, not the economics of crisis but
its politics. How will the working class respond to the crisis? If credit
continues but becomes more costly; if the loss of private pensions,
negotiated health care, and the devaluation of homes force people into
having to reduce consumption to shore up their savings; if food and oil
prices leave less discretionary spending -- if this is the near-term future,
will workers rebel? Or will workers once again tighten their belts to
preserve what is left from their past gains? And if frustrations are
expressed politically, will the politics be limited to a longing for the
good-old days before the crisis or before Bush? 

Absent what Alan Sears, at the recent Great Lakes Graduate Students
Conference at York, called 'an infrastructure of resistance', any opposition
that does surface is most likely to be localized and contained rather than
built on. A coherent alternative is no just a set of economic policy
proposals but a political movement that can develop the popular appreciation
and capacities for radical democratic control over investment.
There should be no illusion that a recession, or even a depression, will
necessarily bring the issue of economic democracy back onto the U.S.
political agenda. It would require a transformation of American politics to
do so -- and that, like the current economic crisis, would as well have
global implications. 

Sam Gindin teaches political economy at York University.
Leo Panitch teaches political economy at York University and is editor of
The Socialist Register.

A version of this article appears in Canadian Dimension, July-August, 2008,
www.canadiandimension.com.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~(((( T h e B u l l e t))))~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The Bullet is
produced by the Socialist Project. Readers are encouraged to distribute
widely. Comments, criticisms and suggestions are welcome. Write to
info at socialistproject.ca







More information about the Marxism mailing list