[Marxism] Iran war drums are rolling again -
dwaltersMIA at gmail.com
Tue Mar 17 17:59:04 MDT 2009
"I see no sign that the US government is anywhere near being able to give a
firm no the the challenges Israel is raising."
I do, because the already did, once. There is nothing stopping the US
from saying "no" to the Zionists. The US interests are a lot broader
than that of the minor imperialist Israeli state, IMO. Their interests
overlap but are not congruent. I think any analysis that doesn't take
this into account is useless.
The Iranians have already been open to negotiations. After collaborating
militarily *in a bloc* with the US Military Sealift Command and US Air
Force issues in 2003/2004 over the war in Afghanistan, the US rebuffed
them after-the-fact on training the new Afghan military.
The US doesn't give a damn about the "Iranian Revolution". Why? Because
it's historical; it's in the past. So what are the "gains" of this
revolution? Does imperialism want the Shah back? No, not really. (there
has been neo-Con talk about bringing back the son-of-the Shah, but it
died quickly).They want Iran to lighten up, "work with the US", etc etc.
There is nothing *fundamental* about the legacy of that 1979 revolution
that is of particular concern to Imperialism except one issue:, and it's
a big one, and it's all about national sovereignty and the ability of
imperialism to *control* the Mid-East, Arabian Sea and Persian Gulf states.
Iran does what is in the governing ruling clique thinks is in the
interest of Iran, and doesn't care about stepping on Imperialism's toes
to do this. That is EVERYTHING. So the US can change this without
changing the regime, which is, at any level, incapable of doing. So it
is a question of using the huge military stick of the US to beat Iran
into submission. Which Iran has already sent signals it is willing to
talk. This is all about negotiations and if the US thinks it has to
unleash the Israelis or do it themselves, OR, start back channel
negotiations, they will do so.
I think it's wrong to assume the US will only stand for a regime like
the Kosovar or former Salvadorean gov't that does *everything* the US
wants and won't do *anything* without flying it by the local US Embassy
first. They cannot tolerate a regime like the Cuban one that is
intrinsically opposed to US imperialism from every angle. But they don't
need the thoroughly puppet regime either and they *know* they can't get
one in Tehran. So they will negotiate, and part of that negotiations
maybe air assaults on Iranian nuclear facilities. Maybe. Let's hope not.
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