[Marxism] As energy guzzlers meet on Iran, Pepe Escobar examines specifics of empire
dwaltersMIA at gmail.com
Thu Oct 1 13:07:46 MDT 2009
Ralph, this was, despite it's distraction theatrical flare, an excellent
summation of the situation with the "All Gas Pipe Lines Lead to Europe"
I think there are two key things, mostly related to the reader in the
bottom 1/4 of the article:
1. The years long cooperation between NATO stalwart Turkey and Charter
Member of the Axis of Evil, Iran and...
2. That "Peak Gas" is going to effect the Russian in about 2 decades.
A few comments on both these points.
There is no doubt special offices are set up in the both the U.S. State
Department and the Pentagon over how to deal with US "Friend Among
Friends" Turkey and it's relationship with Iran. They have a lot of
common interests, such as 'controlling' Iraq, oppressing their own
Kurdish populations, and energy access for Iranian gas and oil, which
Turkey has no problem being Iran's front-end of the gas store. They did
it for Baathist Iraq during the worse days of the US imposed embargo,
doing the same for Iran is simply a 'win-win' for the two countries.
I thought the article noted something also on this worth discussing,
which is that the Obama administration is looking forward to the day of
a closer, even diplomatically friendly, Iran-US relationship. This was
already tested in the military block with Iran by the US Air Force in
2003 during the Afghan war to overthrow the Taliban, something in the
interests at that time of both the Bush gov't and the Iranian gov't. But
the gas is the big deal and if the US choose to become kissy-face with
the Iranians assuming the nuclear issue blows over, the US and it's
allies in Europe will be in a position to use the trans-Turkish Nabucco
pipeline to counter-Russia's growing financial-imperial ambitions in the
I suspect, however, that even the most knuckle-dragging Cold-War
throw-backs at the State Dept. realizes that Gasprom is NOT going away
and they WILL sell lots of gas to the EU and, by default, NATO members,
regardless of the Nabucco pipeline.
On the second point. I think it's worth nothing that pipelines NORTH to
Russia from both Turkmenistan and Iran are in the planning stages for
the issue very issue of Russia's slowly dwindling gas resources. Russia,
and Turkey, Iran and Bulgaria, are all rapidly planning to build out
their nuclear energy sectors motivated by a long term understanding that
the price of gas is going to skyrocket it becomes more and more a
'bridge' technology to a low carbon future. The Green & SPD
ex-politicians both key players in the gas pipeline war, and with Greens
everywhere "discovering" natural gas (see Joseph Romm and Amory Lovins,
both shilling for natural gas), and world wide gas turbine production
shooting up, the prices are going to follow, and with it, huge profits
for all concerned.
So the gas producers want to push back Peak Gas as far as possible. The
best method to do this is using nuclear. Iran has plans to build 19
reactors (!!!), Russia, another 30 or so, Turkey, 4 to 8 and so on. It
is getting nice and complex, isn't it? The more reactors, the less gas
they have to burn for their own electrical and heating needs and the
more to export and the less, down the road, they have to import.
And...and...the article never mentioned China for goodness sakes. The
whole east and south Asian market is booming for gas, especially in it's
LNG form. China signed a deal with Cheveron in Australia for like 40
billion dollars of NG and LNG facilities.
BTW...what IS the problem with Iran and their seemingly inability to
build enough gasoline refineries? They have to import about half the
petrol for their vehicles from Saudi Arabia! It's quite insane. Shows a
total mismanagement of the "Islamic economy" of Iran. But that's another
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