[Marxism] Kemalists lead AKP in poll

Louis Proyect lnp3 at panix.com
Fri Jul 23 09:40:16 MDT 2010

Erdogan Losing Support as Turkish Opposition Pulls Ahead in 
Opinion Poll
By Benjamin Harvey - Jul 22, 2010

The main Turkish opposition party, led by Kemal Kilicdaroglu, has 
pulled ahead of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s party, a 
public opinion poll shows.

In this month’s Sonar Arastirma poll, 33.5 percent of respondents 
said they would vote for Kilicdaroglu’s Republican People’s Party, 
as opposed to 31.1 percent for Erdogan’s Justice and Development 
Party. The prime minister’s party led in the Istanbul-based 
research group’s June poll, backed by 33.4 percent of respondents 
to 30.25 percent for the Republicans.

The Nationalist Action Party would receive 13.8 percent of the 
vote, according to Sonar Arastirma’s July 3-10 poll, which was 
received by e-mail. The pro-Kurdish Peace and Democracy Party 
would get 4.5 percent, below the 10 percent threshold needed for 
representation in parliament, the poll shows.

Elections are planned by July of next year. In the last elections, 
in 2007, Erdogan’s Justice and Development won with 47 percent of 
the vote, to 21 percent for the Republicans.

Erdogan received the lowest rating for trust of any Turkish leader 
or government branch listed in the poll, at 33 percent. The most 
trustworthy was the armed forces, with 78 percent. The poll also 
shows 46 percent of respondents had a negative outlook on the economy.

According to the poll, 77 percent said unemployment was the 
country’s most important problem. The latest figures released by 
the State Statistics Institute show Turkey’s jobless rate fell to 
12 percent in the three months through May from 14.9 percent a 
year earlier.

The poll was conducted through in-person interviews with 3,000 
people in 16 provinces. The margin of error is 1.7 percentage 
points, Sonar Arastirma said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Benjamin Harvey in Ankara 
at bharvey11 at bloomberg.net.

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