[Marxism] [pen-l] Re: Brief Reflection on Trump?s Impeachment By Roberto Savio
mdriscollrj at charter.net
Thu Oct 17 22:41:10 MDT 2019
Opinion: Don’t Be Surprised If Trump Is Never Impeached
David Marcus - The Federalist - Thursday, October 17, 2019
Yesterday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced that the House of
Representatives would not move forward with a vote on impeachment any
time soon. The statement comes as a month of pressure has built up
behind efforts to unseat the president over a phone call with the
Ukrainian president. While Democrats insist, contrary to precedent, that
they do not need to hold a vote, their unwillingness to hold one may
show the impeachment train is skidding off the tracks.
In the giddy early days of the “impeachment investigation” over Ukraine,
Democrats saw the polls move in their direction. But those polls have
now stabilized and in some cases crept back against impeachment. Even at
the peak, impeaching and removing the president was only popular among
those who already opposed the president.
So as the groundswell subsides, could Democrats really reverse course
and abandon an impeachment that just last week seemed imminent?
Surprisingly, yes, they could.
The central thing to consider here is that impeachment is a political,
not a legal, process. Despite their insistence that there are plenty of
reasons to impeach Trump, Democrats have yet to do so. Why not? It seems
clear that they do not believe they have sufficient political support in
the country for the move. Not only do they risk infuriating Trump’s
base, there are also many independent voters who seem to have little
interest in this process.
Along with this, consider that when and if the House Democrats ever
actually hold a vote on impeachment, which could leave incumbents in
purple seats vulnerable, the ball will move into the Senate’s court and
Pelosi and the House will have no more control over it. That’s a very
big deal, because from the day they took over the House the Democrats
have been able to frustrate Trump with impeachment talk any time they
want to step on his initiatives or triumphs. Once a vote is held, that
Put simply, the build up to impeachment is much more politically
valuable to Democrats than impeachment itself. An actual vote to impeach
Trump puts the story out of their hands and into Senate Majority Leader
Mitch McConnell’s. He could choose, like a cat playing with a soon-dead
mouse, to drag the inevitable acquittal of Trump out as long as he
wants. Meanwhile, the entire Democratic Party, including its eventual
nominee for president, will be demanding a Senate conviction that won’t
Instead, Senate Republicans and Trump himself would use the Senate trial
as an opportunity to prove that this has all been a witch-hunt. They
would argue that, after the special counsel investigation, once promised
to be Trump’s Waterloo, failed, the floundering Party of Jefferson and
Jackson found a second-rate scandal to hang impeachment. Yet it isn’t
any kind of crime or misdemeanor, high or otherwise.
An eventual Trump victory in a Senate trial, whenever it comes, perhaps
leading into his convention for example, will be used by the president
to proclaim total exoneration. “Not guilty!” he will insist. “Proof of
the witch hunt!” He'd take victory laps that would put Mario Andretti to
shame. And what can the House Democrats say when that happens? That they
knew it would happen? That it was inevitable with a GOP majority in the
Senate? Well, if so, why did they engage in this farce to begin with?
No. Today the inevitable is starting to seem far less likely. The pros
of formally impeaching the president are a molehill next the mountain of
cons. If they finish their process, impeach, and yield to the Senate,
they become irrelevant. Their constant yammering about wrongdoing turns
into a legal process where facts will be demanded and the president will
Anyone paying attention knows this is what Pelosi has feared from day
one, and with good reason. Her far-left caucus has been goading her, as
has the president, into an informal impeachment, and she clearly still
does not want it. She is wise not to.
There is one more issue here: the media. Won’t the leftist press be
outraged if once again the House Democrats demur on impeachment? No,
they won’t. As always, they will call the move brave and wise, and laud
Pelosi for keeping the House the narrator of the White House story with
forever investigations instead of handing that story to the Senate.
Nothing ventured, something gained, the stories will say.
The bottom line is this. Once the gavel falls on an actual impeachment,
the House, the only chamber the Democrats hold, becomes irrelevant. That
is a political disaster, and it is why the Democrats are still very
unlikely to actually pull that trigger.
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